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Private Gold Intelligence · XAU/USD

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Session high and low need an intraday candle feed; the provider this site reads publishes the last price only, so those are left blank rather than guessed.

Next high-impact USD

No upcoming release

The published schedule has none ahead

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Re-checked every minute

Session--:-- SAST
SydneyTokyoLondonNew York

Schedule: CME Sun 17:00 CT → Fri 16:00 CT · maintenance 23:00–00:00 SAST

Understand the news.
Read the market.
Execute with discipline.

A private XAU/USD workspace that brings the US data calendar, Federal Reserve expectations, Treasury yields and the dollar into one structured read — so every trade starts from evidence, not impulse.

Aurum Capital Market Bias

Will upcoming USD news lean Gold up or down?

Source: US economic calendar · Treasury · DXY —

Next high-impact event

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Reading the calendar…

Fundamental biasUnconfirmed
Treasury 2YAwaiting feed
10Y real yieldAwaiting feed
DXY directionAwaiting feed
Signal agreementInsufficient

Would confirm

Yield and DXY response in line with the news, plus an M5 BOS/CHoCH in the same direction.

Would invalidate

Yields or DXY disagreeing with the release, or Gold reclaiming structure against the proposed direction.

A strong fundamental bias is not an entry signal. Technical confirmation is still required.

Upcoming USD events · Gold relevance

🔥 = expected market impact, not direction
US Core PCE Price Index (YoY)

Tier 1 · Inflation·Reading calendar…

UNCONFIRMED+

Countdown

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Release (SAST)

Reading calendar…

Actual / Forecast / Prev

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Why it moves Gold · The Fed's preferred inflation gauge. A surprise either side shifts the expected path for the funds rate, which is the single largest driver of real yields and the dollar — and therefore of Gold.

Confirmation required

Rising US 2Y yield + firmer DXY + bearish XAU/USD structure break on M15.

Bias strength: —Technical status: UnconfirmedImpact: UNCONFIRMED
US CPI / Core CPI (MoM)

Tier 1 · Inflation·Reading calendar…

UNCONFIRMED+

Countdown

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Release (SAST)

Reading calendar…

Actual / Forecast / Prev

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Why it moves Gold · Headline and core are judged separately. A hotter core print reinforces restrictive policy expectations; a softer one revives cut expectations. Both pass through yields and DXY into Gold.

Confirmation required

Yield and dollar reaction in the first 5 minutes, then M5 displacement and BOS/CHoCH.

Bias strength: —Technical status: UnconfirmedImpact: UNCONFIRMED
FOMC Statement & Fed Chair Press Conference

Tier 1 · Policy·Reading calendar…

UNCONFIRMED+

Countdown

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Release (SAST)

Reading calendar…

Actual / Forecast / Prev

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Why it moves Gold · The statement sets the rate path; the press conference sets the tone. Gold trades the gap between what was expected and what the Chair actually says about future cuts.

Confirmation required

Compare Chair comments with 2Y yield and DXY direction — then wait for M5 confirmation.

Bias strength: —Technical status: UnconfirmedImpact: UNCONFIRMED
Nonfarm Payrolls + Unemployment Rate

Tier 1 · Labour·Reading calendar…

UNCONFIRMED+

Countdown

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Release (SAST)

Reading calendar…

Actual / Forecast / Prev

— / — / —

Why it moves Gold · Strong employment is not automatically bearish for Gold. What matters is whether payrolls and revisions change the odds of a rate move — confirmed only if yields and DXY respond.

Confirmation required

Average hourly earnings direction, then 2Y yield reaction and Gold's first move.

Bias strength: —Technical status: UnconfirmedImpact: UNCONFIRMED
US PPI / Core PPI (MoM)

Tier 1 · Inflation·Reading calendar…

UNCONFIRMED+

Countdown

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Release (SAST)

Reading calendar…

Actual / Forecast / Prev

— / — / —

Why it moves Gold · Pipeline inflation often previews the PCE print. A hot PPI can lift rate expectations ahead of the larger releases.

Confirmation required

Watch whether PPI surprises carry through to 2Y yields.

Bias strength: —Technical status: UnconfirmedImpact: UNCONFIRMED
US Retail Sales / Core Retail Sales

Tier 2 · Demand·Reading calendar…

UNCONFIRMED+

Countdown

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Release (SAST)

Reading calendar…

Actual / Forecast / Prev

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Why it moves Gold · Consumer demand drives the growth side of the Fed's mandate. A strong print can support a higher-for-longer policy stance, pressuring Gold.

Confirmation required

DXY and 2Y yield follow-through; structure must break for a directional read.

Bias strength: —Technical status: UnconfirmedImpact: UNCONFIRMED
Fed Chair / FOMC Member Speeches

Tier 2 · Policy·Reading calendar…

UNCONFIRMED+

Countdown

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Release (SAST)

Reading calendar…

Actual / Forecast / Prev

— / — / —

Why it moves Gold · Guidance between meetings can shift rate expectations. Only speeches that change the expected path move Gold materially.

Confirmation required

Any change in the market-implied path, then yield and DXY confirmation.

Bias strength: —Technical status: UnconfirmedImpact: UNCONFIRMED
US Initial Jobless Claims

Tier 2 · Labour·Reading calendar…

UNCONFIRMED+

Countdown

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Release (SAST)

Reading calendar…

Actual / Forecast / Prev

— / — / —

Why it moves Gold · A weekly labour temperature check. Sustained rises in claims can revive easing expectations, a tailwind for Gold.

Confirmation required

Only meaningful when it shifts the broader rate expectations picture.

Bias strength: —Technical status: UnconfirmedImpact: UNCONFIRMED
🔥

Fire ratings show how much an event is expected to move the market. They say nothing about direction or the odds of a trade working. Bias states fill in only once a calendar and market feed verify actual versus forecast.

02 · Gold Chart

XAU/USD — the working chart

Open full chart →
XAU/USD
Loading TradingView chart…
XAU/USD · M15 candlesticks

Live XAU/USD candlesticks from TradingView (OANDA feed), shown in SAST. The timeframe buttons drive the real chart. If TradingView is blocked in your browser the panel says so and offers a direct link — no simulated candles are ever drawn.

08 · Rates & Dollar

Macro conditions that move Gold

Loading…
DXY—

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US Dollar Index

Broad dollar direction

US 2Y—

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2-Year Treasury

Policy expectations

US 10Y—

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10-Year Treasury

Growth, inflation, term premium

10Y REAL—

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10Y Real Yield

Opportunity cost of holding Gold

Macro alignmentReading rates and DXY…

Rising real yields and a stronger dollar can pressure Gold; conflicting signals lower confidence. Never a guarantee.

03 · Economic Calendar

US events that move Gold — nothing else

NextReading schedule…
Full calendar →
Date · time (SAST)EventImpactForecastPreviousActualGold read

Reading the calendar…

The schedule is being read from the provider — nothing is estimated while it loads.

No schedule, forecast or actual is shown unless a provider supplied it — they are never invented.

11 · My Trading Playbook

One sequence, followed every time

XAU/USD only. The process never changes with the headline of the day — context first, structure second, execution last.

H1

Bias

Establish the broader market bias and major structure.

01
M15

Structure

Map liquidity, support, resistance and supply/demand zones.

02
M5

Execution

Liquidity sweep → displacement → BOS/CHoCH → pullback → entry.

03
Open your journal →

News-day planning references

Planning rules
FOMC

Entry ref

12-pt retest & reversal

Stop

Beyond invalidation

Target ref

30 pts

CPI

Entry ref

~5-pt test / retest

Stop

Beyond invalidation

Target ref

30–60 pts

PCE

Entry ref

~5-pt test / retest

Stop

Beyond invalidation

Target ref

30 pts

Structure, volatility and risk/reward are checked first. If they don't justify the setup, the plan reads NO TRADE. Point values depend on your broker's quoting convention — set it in Settings.

Planning references, not price predictions. A 15-minute monitor window after entry is a prompt to reassess — never a guarantee.

“Protecting capital comes before catching the move.”

Open journal

Private Access

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Tell us what you trade and how you want the terminal wired — live data, calendar provider, broker point conventions. Access requests go straight to the desk, and you'll hear back before anything is switched on.

One instrument

XAU/USD only — no scattergun watchlists

Evidence first

Bias is only stated when inputs agree

Discipline built in

Risk limits and plan checks before any setup

New to XAU/USD?

Read the gold price guide — what drives it, key times in SAST, and the trading framework.

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